Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.016997 0.018947 0.020911 0.023029 0.025244 0.027487 0.029926
2025-04-06 0.012704 0.015693 0.018837 0.022359 0.026168 0.030138 0.034564
2025-04-13 0.009456 0.012949 0.016780 0.021217 0.026147 0.031399 0.037366
2025-04-20 0.007970 0.011896 0.016351 0.021638 0.027624 0.034098 0.041543
2025-04-27 0.006307 0.010416 0.015259 0.021156 0.027962 0.035427 0.044109
2025-05-04 0.004881 0.009041 0.014148 0.020531 0.028031 0.036367 0.046162
2025-05-11 0.004105 0.008394 0.013839 0.020780 0.029047 0.038323 0.049298
2025-05-18 0.003283 0.007577 0.013245 0.020627 0.029545 0.039648 0.051687
2025-05-25 0.002425 0.006578 0.012334 0.020024 0.029461 0.040264 0.053236
2025-06-01 0.001771 0.005771 0.011607 0.019595 0.029541 0.041034 0.054929
2025-06-08 0.001230 0.005029 0.010902 0.019147 0.029562 0.041705 0.056480
2025-06-15 0.000919 0.004623 0.010631 0.019231 0.030209 0.043094 0.058842
2025-06-22 0.000512 0.003930 0.009971 0.018888 0.030458 0.044171 0.061042
2025-06-29 0.000181 0.003158 0.009127 0.018287 0.030404 0.044927 0.062930
2025-07-06 0.000005 0.002311 0.008024 0.017252 0.029749 0.044928 0.063908
2025-07-13 NaN 0.002087 0.007943 0.017634 0.030894 0.047092 0.067421
2025-07-20 NaN 0.001614 0.007326 0.017197 0.030947 0.047905 0.069315
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001171 0.006657 0.016630 0.030796 0.048441 0.070859
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000999 0.006523 0.016856 0.031685 0.050252 0.073914
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000762 0.006171 0.016718 0.032067 0.051421 0.076191
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000482 0.005590 0.016173 0.031873 0.051851 0.077562
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000289 0.005131 0.015786 0.031871 0.052507 0.079192
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000143 0.004684 0.015382 0.031824 0.053091 0.080723